The Collapse of the NDP Indigenous Vote: Did Trudeau Steal the Indigenous Base?
The graph below reveals a concerning trend: the dramatic decline of Indigenous representation within the New Democratic Party (NDP), as compared to the 2021 and 2025 federal elections. In 2021, the NDP had 28 Indigenous candidates, a strong showing for the party. Fast forward to 2025, and the NDP’s Indigenous candidates have dropped to 13, signaling a potential major collapse in Indigenous support.
In 2015, the Liberals worked tirelessly to convince voters who traditionally leaned NDP to shift toward the center. This strategy, combined with significant government spending, led to a notable increase in Liberal support, especially among Indigenous voters. The Liberals effectively capitalized on the need for change and investment in Indigenous communities, a position that was once primarily championed by the NDP.
The question now is: Did Justin Trudeau and his massive spending initiatives effectively “steal” the Indigenous base of the NDP? While the NDP has long been an advocate for Indigenous rights, Trudeau’s government, with its Indigenous-centric policies and financial investments, seems to have eroded the NDP’s traditional stronghold in these communities.
The drop in Indigenous NDP candidates—from 28 in 2021 to 13 in 2025—reflects this shift in political allegiance. The Indigenous vote is now more aligned with the Liberal Party, posing significant challenges for the NDP’s ability to regain the trust and support of Indigenous communities in the future.
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